‘The Situation is Dire’: Hostilities on Iran Squeezes India's Cooking-Gas Supplies.
The shockwaves of a military engagement being fought nearly 3,000km away are now impacting India's households.
As military actions on Iran hinder energy transports through the vital shipping lane, stocks of kitchen fuel are dwindling across India, compelling restaurants to reduce offerings, shorten hours and in some cases shut down altogether.
Social media is flooded by video clips showing lines outside LPG distributors across Indian metros and localities as worries over fuel supplies spread. Restaurant kitchens appear the hardest struck: the biggest crunch is in restaurant kitchens.
"The state of affairs is alarming. Kitchen fuel simply cannot be found," says a official of the an industry group.
Most eateries run either on commercial LPG cylinders or pipeline-supplied fuel, and the shortages are now being noticed across the country. "A lot of restaurants have ceased operations - some in northern India, many in the south. People are turning to traditional burners and electric cookers to keep kitchens going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a western metro, local news say up to a significant portion of eateries are already fully or partly shut as commercial LPG supplies dwindle. In the southern cities of Bengaluru and Chennai, some restaurants say their gas stocks have shrunk with scarce alternatives. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and no other dishes - it is nothing less than pathetic. Commerce will take a hit," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are scrambling to adapt. "Offering lists are shrinking, some are opening only for dinner and opening only for dinner," an industry representative says, adding that closures are fluctuating as supplies wax and wane. "Three restaurants in Delhi were shut yesterday - two have already reopened. It's a dynamic scenario."
Retailers note a increase in sales of induction stoves, with some saying they are selling out quickly.
Authority's View
Yet, the government states there is sufficient stock.
India has more than 30 crore domestic LPG users and spokespersons say cylinders are being reallocated to households as geopolitical strain from the regional hostilities affect energy markets.
About six out of ten of India's LPG is imported, and about 90% of those imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic bottleneck now effectively closed by the war.
The relevant department says that it ordered refineries to maximise LPG output for household consumption, lifting domestic production by about a quarter. Non-domestic supply is being allocated for essential sectors such as hospitals and educational institutions, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Unnecessary hoarding and accumulation has been sparked by rumors. The standard supply timeline for domestic LPG remains about two-and-a-half days," says a senior official.
Spreading Anxiety
Now the anxiety is spreading beyond kitchens. On digital platforms, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of two-wheelers outside a gas outlet. "Concern is genuine," the description reads.
According to analysis from industry analysts, concerns about India's broader petroleum stocks may be exaggerated.
India imports almost all of its crude oil. Around 50% of its petroleum shipments - about 2.5 to 2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the passage, largely from Middle Eastern nations.
Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are hindered, the deficit could be partly offset by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a refinery and oil markets analyst.
Based on shipping data and credible market sources, additional Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, lessening India's effective gap from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently floating on ships in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a ready fallback," an analyst noted.
LPG: The Real Vulnerability
The real vulnerability is kitchen fuel, commentators observe.
India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only less than half domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through the chokepoint.
Refineries can modify output to produce a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only increase domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country heavily reliant on imports.
In short: "Crude supply risk can be somewhat alleviated through alternative sourcing. Fuel availability remains largely sufficient. LPG availability is the critical issue to track in the coming weeks."
What may be heightening the anxiety on the ground is not just scarcity but uneven distribution - and the usual problem of panic buying.
An industry representative states exploitative practices.
"Distributors are exploiting the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a premium. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and auctioned off."
For now, India's oil supplies may be buffered by worldwide shipping. But in restaurants across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next cylinder.